Tuesday, December 23, 2008

Getting away from aggro

Goals:
1. Look for more places to bet rather than call down. Try to understand the difference between betting and calling down
2. Look more for player tendancies in between pots

How do I feel:
Pretty good right now.

Results:
1. Yes, I did a lot more of this. ie in this hand, he likely has a weak pair or strong draw and isn't aggressive enough to just fire away with weak pairs or a missed turn. So raise it up with the intention of getting it in against what would be very unlikely a set given the board.
2. Doing this a little more. Still needs more work, even though I am only two tabling I still slack off too much.


I didn't like my session at all. I pretty much got given 2 pots early and felt like just walking away with the 3/4 BI, but really felt like I needed to get some hands in to be satisfied. Of course that amount went up and down a bit until an aggro sat on my right. This guy was good. He managed to fold every time I had it and raise every time I didn't. I knew to leave, but couldn't. I just wanted to win that one pot on him, but didn't. When I finally left I'd just lost a medium sized pot on my good table, and was down $55 on the bad table, to be almost down a BI, which was depressing as it was mostly from me trying to play back at a bully, which I know not to do. I kept on with my good table and fired up another juicy spot. I regained my profits on the good table, and just went on a 20 hand run on the new table to finish up 1 BI for the session. Nice.

Morale of the story is, if you are feeling uncomfortable on a table for whatever reason, be it aggro opponents, passive opponents, short stacks or even just running bad, then get out. There is almost surely a better spot at another table, so rather than losing 3 BI's to prove how big your balls are, go where the easy money is.

Do you see the theme? Don't play drunk, don't play bad tables, don't play game you aren't good at... Your winrate has a DIRECT correlation to each of these things. If you play average poker but table select well, play when you are in a good mind frame and stick to just games you know, you are going to beat some good players who play drunk, gamble a lot and like to brag about beating up the bully rather than finding better spots. Winrate is key to me now in poker, I can't survive without it. If I find myself having two lousy months and think about how I played drunk or badly causing a big chunk of that lacking winrate, I'll be furious with myself.

On a side note, the link on the side to PSO is why I rejoined the OnGame network. I cleared the 15000 PSO points in about 5000 hands of NL50, or 20 days. That also helped clear $100 worth of deposit bonus. That means I have 19000 PSO points, which is equal to $190 worth of gift certificates, which can be poker $'s. 1 problem is most sites bar Absolute only allow 5000 point = $50 clearances, so it's only $150. So I think I'm going to aim to play the bare minimum at Absolute, which will get me a 9000 point bonus, making it 26,000 points, or $260 worth. I will then cash in that for $260 on Absolute, and in the mean time clear their deposit bonus. So that should be around $300 worth of upcoming bonuses to collect. Add to that the pokerstars $80 which I am about to start clearing from next week, and it's $380. Add to that the rest of the bwin deposit bonus and it's in total around $630. It will take me a few weeks to achieve this, maybe 6 to 8, but I will be very happy to see this much cash flow into my bankroll once it's all finished. All I have to do is win at a marginal rate in the mean time and I'll be on track towards NL100.

Monday, December 22, 2008

And a few days pass

I haven't blogged again for a few days, but mainly because not much interesting has happened. I played a decent session of NL50 over at OnGame again, and finished up playing some Badugi that night, a little tipsy too. Horrible mistake. I won a little and decided to move up. Firstly to start getting some VPP's flowing in, and secondly to see if the players at the higher level were all that good. I pretty quickly dumped an amount of money just never being good, 3 different ways. Either chasing a Badugi with a A23r or 245r type of hand against someone standing pat or drawing and hitting and seeing villains J or K high at the end, holding a fairly bad Badugi against a drawing player and having them hit at the end, or just holding a good badugi and getting coolered by a better one. The funds they disappeared, $120 into $6 in no time. The next night I was too tired to grind NLHE properly, so decided to re-invest in the lowest Badugi game, and ran the opposite to get up to $30 and quit it, instead deciding to player some NLHE on pokerstars. An hour or two later I'd doubled that and felt pretty good about how things went. Then Friday, with some drinks behind, I busted the account. I again ran like shit playing Badugi. It's an extremely hot or cold game I've come to realise. I think my strategy is actually firming up quite a bit, but there is nothing you can do if people draw two cards and hit an A345r on your 2456r or if your opponents are standing pat and you never hit your draws. However, this time I couldn't be saved in NLHE either, getting sucked out on for a big pot with KK vs Q9s AIPF, and getting coolered to empty my account. I'm very disappointed, as I wasn't playing seriously, but still managed to lose more than I won playing serious NLHE during that week (maybe not quite), so what's the point? I've decided playing while drunk for fun is not only -EV, but it's also a waste of time. I have fun playing and winning, whether I'm drinking or not, so why not play when I'm more likely to win, and not play when I'm drinking and relaxing?

So the weekend was a huge blast, but nothing poker related. I ended up having about 1 hour I could have played, but wasn't in the mood, so happily decided not to.

Last night I grinded again, and ran like crap. QQ was no good against AKo pre flop, I got sucked out on after the money went in against a short stack, and then got runner runnered twice by two aggressive opponents when I'd decided to hand control over to them and called down 2 or 3 streets with TPTK (should have raised the flop and been done with it probably). I also got absolutely brilliant starting hands or flops and was forced to fold turns or rivers, when the pressure was just too much and there was nothing I could really beat. I was making a lot more by not hitting, because at least I could just cbet and be done with it if I faced resistance. I ended up forcing a big bluff out of someone against my trips and finally won a couple of pots to come back to pretty much even, but it felt like a cursed night overall, and I'm not even that proud of how I plaed my biggest winning pot.

Oh well, probably have one more crack at poker before Christmas tonight, and then let the festivities commence!

Tuesday, December 16, 2008

Am I high or low?

Goals:
1. Look for spots where to get the money in good, keep the other pots smaller
2. Analyse more what flops are good to us versus players. Keep position in mind too.
3. Give 3 bettors credit against all but very strong hands
4. Fold more PF to min 3 bets unless you think it can flop BIG without being 2nd best hand

How do I feel?
Very good, keep at 2 tables of NL50, see how long it lasts.

1. I'm actually really pleased about this. Not just getting money in, but not overplaying hands when obvious scare cards come in. Hand 1 I had him smashed with KK on a 962r, and he raises my cbet. I decide it's an easy stackoff and just call to call a turn shove with position. It's a T and my life sucks, he had it, but I didn't pay him off when he checked to me and bet medium on the river. Other hand a $2 stacks gets it in, I have QQ and raise, and same guy calls a now big pot. I cbet pretty big with overpair and he calls, and given our history, I thought I had him smashed. Turn is an ace (did I mention my life sucks) and I check, he bets pot. It's a big bet given the preflop and flop dynamic and I just fold, he shows AK up against the $2 stack. I would never fold there given history usually, but now I am thinking much more about what am I ever beating when he shows turn aggression, and it comes down to bluffs, as even weaker aces aren't thrilled at this stage often.
2. I cbet pretty well last night. I very rarely call in position, so it's mainly about the cbet, and I think I have a pretty clear understanding of how often to apply it. In fact I may be cbetting too little if anything (not my previous problems)
3. I folded to 3 bets with decent but not great hands last night
4. Don't remember being min 3 bet

Well last night was good, but not as good as it once was. I ran over a table picking up unwanted pots with cbets and donk leads on turns, and just generally played a fairly unexploitable preflop and flop game (at least at this level). Then a new player stacks off to me when I flop the nut flush, for a reverse cooler where he flopped a Jack high flush. So I'm up almost 2 BI's between this table and the other, and then I run like shit. The two hands in point 1 happen where I lose a bit of my stack when I get sucked out on with turn cards. Then I get it in against a short stack with A9s vs K9 AIPF and he spikes a king, I spike a flush draw, but he hangs on. Then I get it in on a flop in a 100BB pot with overpair and gutshot to the other guys top pair no kicker, only for him to spike a two pair after the money is in. Then I get it in on a turn with top pair versus a flush draw against another short stack and he hits. Fuck me, what did I do to you poker gods? There were even one or two more overpair or top pairs that I had to fold. Eventually I ran OK for a bit and salvaged a 1 BI profit, but I could have quit an hour earlier to be up more. Oh well.

I started to wind down and thought about my new friend Badugi. That's right, play money Badugi for another huge profit, and I said fuck this, I have to get money onto Pokerstars to play this shit for real. I took out loose change on Full Tilt (had about $119) and deposited on stars. I must say this was the best transfer experience I've ever had. I clicked withdrawal on Full Tilt, then within about 3 minutes had the money on a Badugi table on Pokerstars, I'm not lying. It's all instant with these sites as opposed to OnGame or other sites where it takes a couple of days to clear funds. The support on these sites remains first class. I must mention Neteller in there too, as they played middle man in this transfer.

Anyway, I found real money Badugi to be much more challenging. People fold, WTF? I stole a couple of pots pre flop!!! I also lost about $4 in the first hand I played, trying to build up the pot for my upcoming nutz, which never eventuated, only to see my opponent standing pat with a 6 high Badugi, I was drawing to only 2 outs!!! I expected at least T or Q high. But I managed to run good for a bit and won about $9 there in the end. It's a boat load of fun, but is also pretty average for bonus clearing, and I can imagine would be very swingy when you keep finding your 8 high Badugi's being crushed by 6's or 7's, or having your A23r hitting nothing on 3 streets. Still it makes me want to look at the mixed games with a bit more passion, as it really is just another form of poker where once you understand when it's important to bet and when to fold, you gain a real edge. I saw someone sitting with a $55 stack on a table where the max bet for a hand is $6 (I think), so you can imagine how well he's played or run to get a stack that big. I really am enjoying 6 max NLHE right now so I'll keep grinding that for money reasons, but will definitely spend a bit of fun time mucking around in mixed games. I even enjoy playing for no money in new games like this (especially when I run good).

Oh and I'm basically up to my aim of profiting enough to pull up a 3rd table, so I might start trying to add that table when I get the chance the next night or two.

Monday, December 15, 2008

I'm a slack ass

Well, I've been really slack the last couple of weeks. I mean my outside life has been hectic, but I feel a worrying sign of lack of work ethic with my poker the last couple of weeks. I haven't really stopped playing all that much, just stopped blogging, training, forum posting, video watching and skyping to the point where my poker is all about playing. I haven't been playing bad fortunately, and would in fact say I'm running really well right now, but I get this shaky feeling about other blogs I've read in the past. You know the kind that talks about how awful this downswing has been and that they have to get back to forums, videos, coaches etc. Back to basics! Call this point the preventative step in that happening. I want any downswing to be purely downswing related, not related to completely controllable circumstances.

So that's out of the way, and I have gotten back into videos, forums and thinking more about poker the last couple of days, so I feel like I'm getting back on track. Performance wise I've been relatively happy. I'm sure I'm still full of leaks, but I'm at least ahead of the OnGame player pool, who mostly make the mistakes I rarely make now, like overplaying their hands when it's obviously no good anymore, or just not thinking out a players range properly (ie shoving over a cbet on a low board with 99 after you've been 3 bet PF for 100BB's. You are called by what that you beat?). Anyway, I feel like I have many things going for me, and just need to keep on a track of improving and I'll be NL100 in no time. Well not no time, as my bankroll needs boosting, but over time it could well happen.

I will be playing a little more before jumping on Pokerstars to clear a bonus and check out the fields. I haven't played seriously there for... well forever really, so I'd like to 3 table NL50 there and just see how it goes. I contemplated grinding for supernova, but since realised I'd need a crazy amount of hands per month at any level I could be playing anytime soon, so unlikely. However, I love the site, and love the idea of grinding for profit rather than for rakeback. Either way I have to move to that mentality, but this way I can do that easier. I also found Badugi over there and love it. I will definitely put some money on the real tables, as the play money tables are horrendous and I have a feeling the bottom couple of levels could be almost as bad.

Other than that I'm really enjoying poker right now. I feel like I have a real identifiable edge over most of the players in most of the games I play right now, and that leaves me thinking that I am at most a winning micro player in the long run. Now with some extra work, coaching and skyping I hope that becomes a winning low stakes player. I certainly look forward to a big 2009 with lots of money splashing about, and hopefully bouncing back into my pockets.

I will keep my blog up to date from now on and maybe start introducing a worst played pots, and why I thought they were so bad. A feature like that might help me understand my game all the more.

Wednesday, December 3, 2008

Please river me once more, just once more

Goals:
1. Try to work realistic hand ranges into opponents range by the turn to allow for the best decision based on that range
2. Fold hands that only beat bluffs when opponent hasn't shown bluff tendancies
3. Keep close eye on opponents to allow for best decision making

How do I feel?
A little short tempered, but OK now. A little tired/sick, keep it short, but have a go at NL50. Keep close eye on how I'm going on each table.

1. Ranging improving. I am definitely matching up boards to villains especially for cbets or double barrells. Like if I cbet a Qxx and the turn is a king or ace, I double barrell much more often than if it's a 7. If the flop is T97, I'm not cbetting with hardly any hand unless I have something I want to showdown.
2. This part of my game is getting much better. I feel like I am folding earlier and earlier on pots I don't want a part in. I still have to go one step further sometimes I think.
3. Felt good about this. Opponents are fucktastic spewtards. All of them!!!!

OK, so the last comment gave it away, I ran bad the last 2 sessions. I was busy writing them out here, got to about number 13, and I hadn't finished. I'm not kidding, the list was endless of people calling me down with air, or getting it in with the worst hand and sucking out constantly. I'm seriously looking through pokertracker with amazement at what people could call with on the flop or turn, and by the river suddenly have the best hand through either runner runner or some 2 or 4 outer hitting when they were behind all hand.

Even better I only lost a couple of BI's, because people were occasionally not sucking out on me. In all honesty I misplayed a few hands too, but the level of spew these players produced was exceptional. I just couldn't stop the turn and river from smacking me down.

I was happy enough with how I played, but there is certainly room for improvement in some hands.

Monday, December 1, 2008

November results and December goals

November results

Well, it really was a great month of poker for me. I got some confidence through thinking hard about the game, skyping, forums and coaching. It's all new to me, but I'm feeling good about where I'm going. My stats reading and player reading has gone through the roof, and I still think this is where the biggest gains are to be made next month.

$ wise, I had an upswing for once on FTP. 8ptbb/100 over a small sample at NL25, so nothing to really get excited about, I still need to play more hands. Still can't be upset with that result.

December:
Christmas is around the corner, and I want a big fat poker bankroll Santa. I'm going to have a crack at NL50 OnGame where the games are soft and see how I go. Will mostly 2 table NL50 until my BR is above 30BI's, or until I drop down to 20 BI's. If my BR goes up I'll 3 table, if it goes down I'll retreat to NL30 again. I haven't worked out how long til I clear my OnGame bonus, but I aim to do the two bonuses I have line up before leaving this site, if I leave this site.

Some game goals to work on:
* Work hard at getting reads on OnGame villains, work out where the money is here
* Work hard at optimising some postflop plays. Like understand when a raise only gets worse to fold, better to call, and where to fold a big pair
* Work more at getting questions together about different plays
* 3 bet more and work out where it's a good move.

Ahhh OnGame

Goals:
1. Get comfortable on OnGame again.
2. work on table selection given stack sizes and player types.
3. Work hard at playing optimal preflop and flop strategy based on reads

How do I feel:
A little sick, just be two tabling at most

1. Best describes OnGame: WOW, fuck me, WOW, WTF is going on??? Amazingly bad players, but tough night due to variance.
2. Table selection wasn't perfect as I had loose players on my left, but then they were bad, and I had even looser LAG's on my right, so not terrible table selection
3. This had me playing very face up, as most people don't believe you have a hand. Played fairly tight pre flop, didn't try many bluffs. Need to 3 bet more still.

Nothing too much to report, it's been very quiet poker wise the last few days. I joined up OnGame to clear a big bonus. That will commit me to OnGame most of this month I think. The games were scarily bad. 30 VPIP was considered tight, 4% 3 bets were considered aggro tilt monkeys, and anything above 1.2% AF was a maniac basically. One player resembled TAG/LAG stats and even he was 30/18 rather than 20/18.

As it stands if the players are really this bad here, I have to jump up and take a shot at NL50. Not because I'm really that confident at this site yet, but if there are players like this giving their moeny away at higher levels I need to know, and not leave that level. If it's not the case, then that's OK, I'll drop down.

I'll blog November results and December goals soon.